British financial excess supply overriding downturn-66814

British finance: oversupply over all, low oil prices, the client to see the latest market, crude oil prices in the last few days of individual development. The market believes that U.S. crude oil inventories is temporarily reduced, and the crude oil imports fell, New York oil affected, fell for fifth consecutive trading days, to Samsung [micro-blog] to low, closing at $27.45, down 49 cents, or nearly one point eight percent. London oil futures, down the last four trading days, closed at 30.84 U.S. dollars, up 52 U.S. cents, an increase of one point seven percent. On the news, the U.S. crude oil inventories fell by more than 750 thousand barrels last week. The market had expected an increase of 3 million 550 thousand barrels, as gasoline inventories rose, on more than the market expected, last week increased by nearly 1 million 260 thousand barrels of oil for heating, used for distillation, was expected to increase by more than 1 million 280 thousand barrels. In addition, Sino US stock market sentiment, OPEC latest bill, the situation in the Middle East and inventory situation, the Iran supply news, the U.S. oil export policy will also affect oil prices. From the supply perspective, the market share of the major oil producers of the game continues, the major oil producers did not seem to have the first production plan, the excess supply of fear is difficult to eliminate, but it does not exclude the accident prompted oil prices reached a cooperation agreement. From the demand side, the global manufacturing economic data show signs of recovery, but the demand for crude oil growth is still quite slow. The oil price shocks, excess supply fears always like a sword of Damocles, with cooperation in oil producing countries cut rumors gradually be falsified, oil prices down again, some speculation funds rebound illusion cut deliberately also mercilessly burst, a certain number of bargain hunting in the vicinity of a low of more than 12 years, but the excess supply the overriding concerns, the current oil price has fallen below $28-30 range, does not exclude subsequent further dropping $25 for support. If the positive economic data or events affecting the stock market sentiment, expected future prices of crude oil supply, still have the opportunity to once again challenge the pressure, but also to guard against the supply pattern of the game did not really break, the development of the prisoner’s dilemma or cause prices later fell sharply, support 26.50,25.00, resistance 27.73,29.41. The current oil prices affected by the news, the supply of the prisoner’s dilemma of excess oil difficult to crack, the higher value of the pulse rate trading strategy, with some rallies or break the interval after single more favorable. An important event today [entry strategy] 1) 0900 in the Asia Pacific stock market is expected to stabilize the amount of good position, amplitude more than $0.1~0.3 2) 2130 in the United States in February 6th, when the week jobless claims lower than expected amount of good position, amplitude more than 0.3~0.5 $* * 3) 2300 in the United States in January, the employment market conditions index (LMCI) higher than the expected amount of good position, amplitude more than 0.3~0.5 $4) in the absence of * * emergencies, to the strategy of technology trends as follows: A) the first touch 27.73 amount of short positions, the target 27.00,26.30 B) above 27.80 the amount of good storehouse, 28.30,29.41 C).

英伦金融:供应过剩压倒一切 油价低迷 客户端 查看最新行情   上个交易日原油价格个别发展。市场认为,美国原油库存只是暂时减少,加上原油进口下跌,纽约期油受影响,连续第五个交易日下跌,至三星[微博]期来低位,以每桶27.45美元收市,跌49美仙,跌幅近百分之1.8。伦敦期油,扭转过去四个交易日下跌,收市报30.84美元,升52美仙,升幅百分之1.7。消息面上,美国上星期原油库存出乎预期减少逾75万桶。市场原先预期会增加355万桶,至于汽油库存增幅,就多过市场预期,上星期增加近126万桶,用作取暖用的蒸馏油,出乎预期增加逾128万桶。此外,中美股市情绪、OPEC最新议案、中东局势及库存状况、伊朗供应消息、美国石油出口政策,亦会左右油价。从供应面看,主要产油国间的市场份额博弈仍在持续,各大产油国都似乎并未有率先减产的打算,供应过剩担忧难以消除,但亦不排除意外达成合作协议促使油价走高。从需求面看,全球制造业经济数据有复苏迹象,但对原油的需求增长仍然相当缓慢。油价前期震荡下挫,供应过剩的担忧情绪始终如利剑高悬,随着产油国合作减产的传闻逐渐被证伪,油价再度陷入跌势,部分炒作减产的资金有意制造的反弹假象亦遭到无情破灭,在逾12年低位附近有一定数量的逢低买盘,但对供应过剩的担忧情绪压倒一切,目前油价已跌破28-30美元区间,后续不排除进一步下探25美元寻求支撑。若经济数据利好股市情绪,或事件影响原油供应预期,未来油价仍然有机会再度向上挑战压力位,但同时亦要警惕供应博弈的格局未真正打破,囚徒困境的发展或导致油价后期大幅走低,支持看26.50,25.00,阻力看27.73,29.41。目前油价受消息面影响较大,原油供应过剩的囚徒困境博弈难以破解,较高值搏率的交易策略,以适量逢高做空或突破区间追单较有利。   【今天重要事件入市策略】   1) 0900以亚太区股市回稳预期适量好仓,波幅逾0.1~0.3美元   2) 2130以美国2月6日当周初请失业金人数低于预期适量好仓,波幅逾0.3~0.5美元**   3) 2300以美国1月就业市场状况指数(LMCI)高于预期适量好仓,波幅逾0.3~0.5美元**   4) 在无突发事件下,以技术走势下市策略如下:   A)首触27.73适量淡仓,目标27.00,26.30   B)上破27.80适量好仓,目标28.30,29.41   C)跌穿26.30适量淡仓,目标25.80,25.00   D)首触25.00适量好仓,目标25.80,26.30   油价在各主要产油国争夺市场份额而在供应上进行博弈、需求总体复苏缓慢的情况下,料走势会较为大幅震荡,但由于最新公告的页岩气生产成本约在45~55美元区间,短线料该区间上下3~5美元,即约60~42美元区间成主要角力区。油价有机会在下挫后短时间内大幅反弹,并有机会超逾原水平,与市者必须具备足够保证金以应对有关风险,掌握创富先机。   【重要支持及阻力】   【环球市况焦点及分析】   昨日行情如分析预期发展,若按英伦分析策略逢低做多黄金并逢高沽空原油,丰厚的新年红包相信已经到手。昨日市场焦点集中在耶伦在国会上的证词上,但耶伦老练的言辞使得投资者难以从中找到太多有意义的线索,但她多次指出经济面临的风险因素,相信联储在对待加息方面的态度会更加谨慎,下个月加息几率近为零。美元宽幅震荡后再创近期新低,金价短暂回踩后强势上扬,突破1200压力关口。油价方面,OPEC月报继续向市场传达对供应过剩的悲观情绪,油价跌破年初低点,跌势难休。本周市场焦点在美元和联储官员的言论,周三联储主席耶伦时隔近两个月再次公开发表讲话,其老练的言辞并未给市场提供太多明确的线索,不过分析师解读其多次强调经济面临的风险因素,相信联储在对待加息方面的态度会更加倾向鸽派。数据方面,美国上周初请失业金人数估计仍保持在30万以下,零售数据料略有改善,不过消费信心则继续滑落,让衰退论经久不息。在欧洲,欧盟第四季度GDP预计环比增0.4%,快过上季,其中意大利经济追上欧洲平均数。欧盟12月工业生产从上月的收缩中复原。此外,中美股市情绪、OPEC最新议案、中东局势及库存状况、伊朗供应消息、美国石油出口政策,亦会左右油价。技术上,油价前期震荡下挫,供应过剩的担忧情绪始终如利剑高悬,随着产油国合作减产的传闻逐渐被证伪,油价再度陷入跌势,部分炒作减产的资金有意制造的反弹假象亦遭到无情破灭,不过在逾12年低位附近有一定数量的逢低买盘,密切关注28-32美元区间的支撑力度,后续或围绕该区间进行震荡。若配合供应过剩忧虑缓解或者需求复苏理想的利好消息,油价反弹力度可以很大,投资者需紧盯消息面动向,顺势而为。   英伦金融【原油】:供应过剩压倒一切,油价低迷四面楚歌。1)首个即市策略,跌破26.50,目标26.00,25.80,突破可追25.00,24.50。2)反之,升穿27.80可适量造多,看28.30,28.50,突破追29.41,30.15。3)最后一个策略,目前原油供应过剩迭加需求复苏缓慢局面并未根本改变,囚徒困境难以破解,部分资金炒作合作减产可能,实际达成协议难度很大,可以29.41-31.37区间作适量空单,追0.5~0.8美元突破利润。留意后市波动且快且急,必须准备足够的保证金及严守止损。   【纽约股市】纽约股市个别发展,联邦储备局主席耶伦言论曾经带来支持。不过道琼斯工业平均指数连续第四个交易日下跌,失守1万6千点。收市跌99点,报15914点。标准普尔五百指数跌不足1点,报1851点。耶伦预期联储局不会改变加息计划,市场认为经济可以抵受缓步加息,美股受支持。不过迪斯尼股价下跌,能源股,原材料股和银行股向下,都影响大市由高位回落。标普五百指数在耶伦讲话后,曾经升近百分之1.6,但市场担心股市低迷会令经济步入衰退,令道指和标普五百指数收市倒跌。道指早段最多升187点至1万6200点水平后转跌,尾段跌势加剧,以接近全日最低位收市。若美股走强则利好油价上扬。   【美元指数】美元兑主要货币汇价个别发展,兑日圆触及15个月来低位。市场憧憬美国会继续加息,不过联储局主席耶伦言论,令市场认为下月加息机会不大。美元回跌,兑日圆跌至113水平。市场担心欧洲银行业。欧元受影响,兑美元曾经跌至1.11水平,其后收复部分失地。技术上,美元指数宽幅震荡后跌破96水平。目前美联储不容美元走得太强,走势是在没干预下上扬,到一定位置则有打压,走势有人为因素及避险资金支持。   【现货原油分析】   【技术面分析】技术上,由于主要产油国的市场份额博弈仍然持续,OPEC干预政策停留在纸上谈兵,供应过剩陷入囚徒困境,需求复苏缓慢,导致油价跌跌不休。对供应过剩的担忧情绪如利剑高悬,油价构成三重顶形态后大幅下挫并连续失守多个支撑位,一度跌穿30美元创出12年来新低,往后在消息支持下屡次报复性反弹,但反弹往往很快结束并回吐涨幅,目前随着炒作产油国合作减产的传闻逐渐被证伪,油价反弹假象遭到破灭并跌破年初低点,后续或将进一步考验25美元支撑。此外,中美股市情绪、OPEC最新议案、中东局势及库存状况、伊朗供应消息、美国石油出口政策,亦会左右油价。投资者需时刻关注消息面动向,顺势而为,风险的头寸必须有所规划。   黄金回调分析:   阴阳烛形态:   顶底形态及均线分析:   市况爆发性及急促性高,媒体对油价波动诠释又见谬论,入市前必须头脑清醒,严守止损。   【指数及外汇市场对油价关注事项】   —-, 美元指数升破97.80, 中, 0.5美元, 美元上行确认则油价受压   —-, 美元指数跌破95.24, 中, 0.5美元, 美元乏力回调则油价受惠   —-, 美股升回18137上方, 中, 0.5美元, 美股走强上扬则油价受惠   —-, 美股跌破15855下方, 中, 0.5美元, 美股乏力回调则油价受压   现货黄金、现货白银、原油、外汇交易皆有一定风险,但只要选择零滑点平台,即可把风险大大降低,同时加上准确的分析服务以及理智、系统化的操盘模式,取得高回报并非难事。至于如何建立系统化的操盘思路,以及准确分析的窍门,可以通过免费报读英伦金融在线互动课程了解。 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: